Economic Scenarios Manager

4 weeks ago

Edinburgh, United Kingdom NatWest Group Full time

Join us as an Economic Scenarios Manager

  • Are you interested in how the economy influences the banking sector and do you want to build economic scenarios to help decision-makers think about different versions of the future?
  • If you have a passion for understanding the risks and opportunities of a rapidly evolving economic landscape, then we want to hear from you
  • Join our team that helps the bank to think about different versions of the economic future to help our stakeholders set budgets, manage risk and formulate strategies
  • It's a chance to have real influence, and see your decisions producing tangible results in this high profile, critical role
     What you'll do

    As an Economic Scenarios Manager, we’ll look to you to help the bank better understand external macroeconomic developments and build economic scenarios to support budgeting, stress-testing and provisioning exercises. Your role will involve the mechanics of scenario construction, translating unfolding economic dynamics into usable forecasts as well as assessing the risks around those outcomes. 

    You’ll bring economics to life for our stakeholders and make economic data and concepts easy to understand. You’ll also produce high quality written materials and present findings to the wider team and key stakeholders.

    You’ll also be:

    • Analysing UK macroeconomic dynamics to support the development of forecasts and alternative scenarios 
    • Gathering economic intelligence and developing succinct, compelling economic narratives of how the evolving economic landscape is impacting the bank and its customers
    • Determining how key thematic trends, including climate, geopolitics and AI, are shaping the future of our operating environment and the economy
    • Developing new and updating existing economic scenarios, using quantitative and qualitative techniques, to support internal exercises, including provisioning, budgeting and stress-testing 
    • Supporting enrichment of regulatory macroeconomic and market risk scenarios for Bank of England stress tests
    • Demonstrating an understanding of the bank’s financial performance and capital position, and how those are influenced by the economy and our in-house economic scenarios The skills you'll need

      We’re looking for someone with professional experience as an economist. You’ll hold a degree in a quantitative discipline such as Economics, Financial Economics, Econometrics, and Finance or Accounting. Experience of working within an economic scenario exercise is desirable but not essential.

      On top of this, you'll need:

      • A good understanding of a banking institution P&L, balance sheet, liquidity and trading book
      • Experience in producing high quality analysis including creating presentations and reports for senior management
      • Strong communication skills, both written and verbal, with the ability to present quantitative topics with application to real world developments
      • Good stakeholder management skills with the ability to understand customers’ needs

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