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Industry Forecast Manager
3 months ago
The Role:
nThe Industry Forecast Manager is responsible for all non-commodity cost forecasts. They are also responsible for compliance in many Electricity market schemes.
Responsibilities:
nNon-CommoditynManage and develop forecasting models for all non-commodity charges across gas and powernPropose ongoing changes to rates based on a deep understanding of cost methodologies and analysis of underlying assumptions.
Use statistical models to extrapolate assumptions into the future based on past and future trendsnEngage with pricing team to ensure pricing systems are updated timely and accuratelynReport on accuracy of historic forecasts and comment upon variances and develop a reporting suit/knowledge centre for internal (sales) and external (customer) usenCalculate Non commodity actual and reconciliation costs and report to the businessnAssist pricing with Non commodity customer queriesnWorking with marketing to create quarterly non-commodity reports, providing customers with an understandable view of future outlook.nScheme ManagementnValidation of ongoing FITS scheme invoices from Ofgem as well as conducting the quarterly and annual FITs levelisation process to ensure compliance with the scheme.
Assisting with the FITS audits as required.nCreation of monthly FITs accrual for financenQuarterly review and submission of TNUoS forecast to National GridnSubmission of Capacity Market forecast to EMRS and validation and collation of Capacity Market invoicesnManage EII exemption process and certificates, including driving developments internally associated to scheme changesnRisk ManagementnHighlight current and future risks and create innovative ways to mitigatenMonitor inflation, using external forecasts to assess levels required in internal modelsnWork with the Pricing team to ensure Fixed Annual customers are priced with the appropriate level of risknEvaluate and monitor regulation risk, collating information across multiple sources, working with regulation managernImplement agreed risk strategy to non-commodity forecastsYour Profile:
nExcellent verbal and written communication skills and the ability to interact professionally with a diverse group, executives, managers and subject matter experts.nExperienced in data analysis and reporting.
As well as strong analytical problem solving skills.nShould have a minimum of 5 years of commercial experience in the gas and power sector with a background in hands-on technical roles in the field and relies on experience and judgment to plan and accomplish goalsnProficient in the use of Excel (necessity) as well as working knowledge of SQL, Power BI and statistical tools such as Python (desired)